The future of agricultural markets” “

The General Directorate for Agriculture of the European Commission published a Report last week with the title “Prospects for the agricultural markets in the European Union 2004-2011”. Divided into three chapters (EU markets in the short term, agricultural markets and incomes in the new member states, EU markets in the medium and long term), the document presents a largely positive picture of the future of European agriculture. In particular, the Commission considers that sectors such as cereals, meat, milk and its derivatives – in spite of the different trend of specific products – will benefit as a whole from the recent reforms of the Common Agricultural Policy (CAP) by guaranteeing the maintenance of the income of farmers. Two data are worth underlining: the production and consumption of milk and cheese, continuously increasing, will determine a decline in the availability (and hence of the consumption) of butter and powdered milk; by 2011, thanks to EU entry, the income of farmers in the new member countries ought to double its present level (in the event of non-membership, the estimates spoke of a net deterioration from 2006 on). For further information, consult the website: http://europa.eu.int/comm/agriculture/publi/caprep/prospects2004b/index_en.htm