MYANMAR: ANOUIL (EGLISES D’ASIE), THE ONLY HOPE IS "A DIVISION WITHHIN THE MILITARY JUNTA"(2)

Anouil admits that "if in the next few days Yangoon manages to repress the protests, the junta will have won the tug of war with the population and the Buddhist monks, who – don’t forget it – aren’t prone to any proactive involvement in politics". "The only hope for a positive outlook on the current crisis – states Anouil, who works in the press agency of the Missions Etrangères de Paris, a missionary institution that used to be based in Burma – is if some division happened within the military junta". Anouil’s historical comparison is clear: "It might happen as with the dictator Ceauþescu in Romania: when the street protests broke out, at some point the servicemen refused to shoot on the crowd and turned their backs on the regime. Something similar might happen in Yangoon as well. If a division comes into being within the junta and some of them form an alliance with San Suu Kyi’s League or with the monks, then there’s some hope in a peaceful and democratic solution".